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2025
- 20250529 How Uncertain Is the Estimated Probability of a Future Recession?
by Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov - 20250528 Who’s Paying Those Overdraft Fees?
by Gabriel Leonard & Donald P. Morgan & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20250521 Nonbanks and Banks: Alone or Together?
by Nicola Cetorelli & Gonzalo Cisternas & Asani Sarkar - 20250520 Why Does the U.S. Always Run a Trade Deficit?
by Thomas Klitgaard - 20250515 The College Economy: Educational Differences in Labor Market Outcomes
by Rajashri Chakrabarti & Thu Pham & Beckett Pierce & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy - 20250513 Student Loan Delinquencies Are Back, and Credit Scores Take a Tumble
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20250512 Who Finances Real Sector Lenders?
by Nina Boyarchenko & Hyuntae Choi & Leonardo Elias - 20250424 Gauging the Strength of China’s Economy in Uncertain Times
by Hunter L. Clark & Jeffrey B. Dawson - 20250423 Stablecoins and Crypto Shocks: An Update
by Kenechukwu E. Anadu & Pablo D. Azar & Catherine Huang & Marco Cipriani & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Gabriele La Spada & Mattia Landoni & Marco Macchiavelli & Antoine Malfroy-Camine & J. Christina Wang - 20250421 The Origins of Market Power in DeFi
by Pablo D. Azar & Adrian Casillas & Maryam Farboodi - 20250416a Is College Still Worth It?
by Jaison R. Abel & Richard Deitz - 20250416b When College Might Not Be Worth It
by Jaison R. Abel & Richard Deitz - 20250414 Will Peak Demand Roil Global Oil Markets?
by Matthew Higgins & Thomas Klitgaard - 20250411 Recent Shifts Seen in Consumers’ Public Policy Expectations
by Joseph Delehanty & Gizem Koşar & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20250407a Monetary Policy Spillovers in the Global Economy
by Sushant Acharya & Ozge Akinci & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Paolo Pesenti - 20250407c Monetary Policy Spillovers and the Role of the Dollar
by Sushant Acharya & Ozge Akinci & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Paolo Pesenti - 20250407b How Household Saving Affects Monetary Policy Spillovers
by Sushant Acharya & Ozge Akinci & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Paolo Pesenti - 20250331 Why Are Credit Card Rates So High?
by Itamar Drechsler & Hyeyoon Jung & Weiyu Peng & Dominik Supera & Guanyu Zhou - 20250327b Interoperability of Blockchain Systems and the Future of Payments
by Jon Durfee & Michael Junho Lee & Joseph Torregrossa & Sarah Wang - 20250327a An Interoperability Framework for Payment Systems
by Jon Durfee & Michael Junho Lee & Joseph Torregrossa - 20250326b Credit Score Impacts from Past Due Student Loan Payments
by Daniel Mangrum & Crystal Wang - 20250326a Student Loan Balance and Repayment Trends Since the Pandemic Disruption
by Daniel Mangrum & Crystal Wang - 20250306 When the Household Pie Shrinks, Who Gets Their Slice?
by Jacob Conway & Natalia Fischl-Lanzoni & Matthew Plosser - 20250305 Firms’ Inflation Expectations Have Picked Up
by Jaison R. Abel & Richard Deitz & Benjamin Hyman - 20250303 Comparing Apples to Apples: “Synthetic Real‑Time” Estimates of R‑Star
by Sophia Cho & John C. Williams - 20250227a Global Trends in U.S. Inflation Dynamics
by Ozge Akinci & Martín Almuzara & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Ramya Nallamotu & Argia M. Sbordone & Greg Simitian & William Zeng - 20250227b Supply and Demand Drivers of Global Inflation Trends
by Ozge Akinci & Martín Almuzara & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Ramya Nallamotu & Argia M. Sbordone & Greg Simitian & William Zeng - 20250226 U.S. Imports from China Have Fallen by Less Than U.S. Data Indicate
by Hunter L. Clark - 20250214 How Censorship Resistant Are Decentralized Systems?
by Jon Durfee & Michael Junho Lee - 20250213 Breaking Down Auto Loan Performance
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20250203 Are First‑Time Home Buyers Facing Desperate Times?
by Donghoon Lee & Joseph Tracy - 20250117 Discount Window Stigma After the Global Financial Crisis
by Olivier Armantier & Marco Cipriani & Asani Sarkar - 20250108 Do Payout Restrictions Reduce Bank Risk?
by Fulvia Fringuellotti & Thomas Kroen - 20250106 The R&D Puzzle in U.S. Manufacturing Productivity Growth
by Danial Lashkari & Jeremy Pearce
2024
- 2024027b Wealth Inequality by Age in the Post‑Pandemic Era
by Benjamin Lahey & Rajashri Chakrabarti & Natalia Emanuel - 20241220 Anatomy of the Bank Runs in March 2023
by Marco Cipriani & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Anna Kovner - 20241205 Do Import Tariffs Protect U.S. Firms?
by Mary Amiti & Matthieu Gomez & Sang Hoon Kong & David E. Weinstein - 20241204 Using Stock Returns to Assess the Aggregate Effect of the U.S.‑China Trade War
by Mary Amiti & Matthieu Gomez & Sang Hoon Kong & David E. Weinstein - 20241203 Documenting Lender Specialization
by Kristian S. Blickle & Eric Gao - 20241125 Why Do Banks Fail? Bank Runs Versus Solvency
by Sergio A. Correia & Stephan Luck & Emil Verner - 20241122 Why Do Banks Fail? The Predictability of Bank Failures
by Sergio A. Correia & Stephan Luck & Emil Verner - 20241121 Why Do Banks Fail? Three Facts About Failing Banks
by Sergio A. Correia & Stephan Luck & Emil Verner - 20241115 To Whom It May Concern: Demographic Differences in Letters of Recommendation
by Beverly Hirtle & Anna Kovner - 20241114 Why Investment‑Led Growth Lowers Chinese Living Standards
by Matthew Higgins - 20241113 Income Growth Outpaces Household Borrowing
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20241112 Banking System Vulnerability: 2024 Update
by Matteo Crosignani & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Fulvia Fringuellotti - 20241021 The Dueling Intraday Demands on Reserves
by Adam Copeland & Sarah Wang - 20241017 Tracking Reserve Ampleness in Real Time Using Reserve Demand Elasticity
by Gara Afonso & Domenico Giannone & Gabriele La Spada & John C. Williams - 20241010 International Stock Markets’ Reactions to EU Climate Policy Shocks
by Julian di Giovanni & Galina Hale & Neel Lahiri & Anirban Sanyal - 20241009 A New Indicator of Labor Market Tightness for Predicting Wage Inflation
by Sebastian Heise & Jeremy Pearce & Jacob P. Weber - 20241007 What Do Climate Risk Indices Measure?
by Oliver Zain Hannaoui & Hyeyoon Jung - 20241002 Exposure to Generative AI and Expectations About Inequality
by Natalia Emanuel & Emma Harrington - 20241001 Are Nonbank Financial Institutions Systemic?
by Andres Fernandez & Martin Hiti & Asani Sarkar - 20240930 The Central Banking Beauty Contest
by Gonzalo Cisternas & Aaron Kolb - 20240925 Flood Risk Outside Flood Zones — A Look at Mortgage Lending in Risky Areas
by Kristian S. Blickle & Evan Perry & João A. C. Santos - 20240924 End‑of‑Month Liquidity in the Treasury Market
by Henry Dyer & Michael J. Fleming & Or Shachar - 20240923 Has Treasury Market Liquidity Improved in 2024?
by Michael J. Fleming - 20240904b AI and the Labor Market: Will Firms Hire, Fire, or Retrain?
by Jaison R. Abel & Richard Deitz & Natalia Emanuel & Benjamin Hyman - 20240904a Can Professional Forecasters Predict Uncertain Times?
by Marco Del Negro - 20240903 Are Professional Forecasters Overconfident?
by Marco Del Negro - 20240820 The Disparate Outcomes of Bank‑ and Nonbank‑Financed Private Credit Expansions
by Nina Boyarchenko & Leonardo Elias - 20240819 An Update on the Reservation Wages in the SCE Labor Market Survey
by Gizem Koşar & Davide Melcangi & Sasha Thomas - 20240814 A New Set of Indicators of Reserve Ampleness
by Gara Afonso & Kevin Clark & Brian Gowen & Gabriele La Spada & JC Martinez & Jason Miu & Will Riordan - 20240813 When Are Central Bank Reserves Ample?
by Gara Afonso & Domenico Giannone & Gabriele La Spada & John C. Williams - 20240812 Reallocating Liquidity to Resolve a Crisis
by Kinda Hachem - 20240807 The Anatomy of Labor Demand Pre‑ and Post‑COVID
by Richard Audoly & Miles Guerin & Giorgio Topa & Roshie Xing - 20240806 Mortgage Lock‑In Spurs Recent HELOC Demand
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20240805 The DeFi Intermediation Chain
by Pablo D. Azar & Adrian Casillas & Maryam Farboodi - 20240717 Wage Insurance: A Potential Policy for Displaced Workers
by Benjamin Hyman & Brian K. Kovak & Adam Leive - 20240716 What Was Up with Grocery Prices?
by Thomas Klitgaard - 20240711 The Mysterious Slowdown in U.S. Manufacturing Productivity
by Danial Lashkari & Jeremy Pearce - 20240703 On the Distributional Consequences of Responding Aggressively to Inflation
by Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Brian Pacula - 20240702 On the Distributional Effects of Inflation and Inflation Stabilization
by Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Brian Pacula - 20240701 Exploring the TIPS‑Treasury Valuation Puzzle
by Guillaume Roussellet - 20240628 Racial and Ethnic Inequalities in Household Wealth Persist
by Benjamin Lahey & Rajashri Chakrabarti & Natalia Emanuel - 20240624 Deciphering the Disinflation Process
by Sebastian Heise & Aysegul Sahin - 20240620 The Growing Risk of Spillovers and Spillbacks in the Bank‑NBFI Nexus
by Viral V. Acharya & Nicola Cetorelli & Bruce Tuckman - 20240618 Banks and Nonbanks Are Not Separate, but Interwoven
by Viral V. Acharya & Nicola Cetorelli & Bruce Tuckman - 20240617 Nonbanks Are Growing but Their Growth Is Heavily Supported by Banks
by Viral V. Acharya & Nicola Cetorelli & Bruce Tuckman - 20240531 Can Discount Window Stigma Be Cured?
by Olivier Armantier - 20240529 Taking Stock: Dollar Assets, Gold, and Official Foreign Exchange Reserves
by Patrick Douglass & Linda S. Goldberg & Oliver Zain Hannaoui - 20240528 Do Exchange‑Traded Products Improve Bitcoin Trading?
by Ken Armstrong & Leslie Conner Warren & Asani Sarkar - 20240522 Veterans in the Labor Market: 2024 Update
by Rajashri Chakrabarti & Dan Garcia & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy - 20240521 The Changing Landscape of Corporate Credit
by Nina Boyarchenko & Leonardo Elias - 20240520 Supply Chain Disruptions Have Eased, But Remain a Concern
by Jaison R. Abel & Richard Deitz - 20240516 Is the Recent Inflationary Spike a Global Phenomenon?
by Babur Kocaoglu & Martín Almuzara & Argia M. Sbordone - 20240515 Do Unexpected Inflationary Shocks Raise Workers’ Wages?
by Jacob P. Weber - 20240514 Delinquency Is Increasingly in the Cards for Maxed‑Out Borrowers
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw & Crystal Wang - 20240513 Who Is Borrowing and Lending in the Eurodollar and Selected Deposit Markets?
by Gara Afonso & Gonzalo Cisternas & Will Riordan - 20240509 The Post‑Pandemic Shift in Retirement Expectations in the U.S
by Felix Aidala & Gizem Koşar & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20240508 How Are They Now? A Checkup on Homeowners Who Experienced Foreclosure
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donggyu Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Belicia Rodriguez & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20240507 Many Places Still Have Not Recovered from the Pandemic Recession
by Jaison R. Abel & Richard Deitz & Jonathan Hastings & Joelle Scally - 20240506 Mortgage Rate Lock‑In and Homeowners’ Moving Plans
by Felix Aidala & Andrew F. Haughwout & Benjamin Hyman & Jason Somerville & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20240503 Has Market Concentration in U.S. Manufacturing Increased?
by Mary Amiti & Sebastian Heise - 20240417 The New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel: A Foundational CMD Data Set
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20240416 The Survey of Consumer Expectations: A Look Back at the Past Decade
by Olivier Armantier & Gizem Koşar & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20240415 Can I Speak to Your Supervisor? The Importance of Bank Supervision
by Beverly Hirtle & Anna Kovner - 20240412 The Anatomy of Export Controls
by Matteo Crosignani & Lina Han & Marco Macchiavelli & André F. Silva - 20240411 Monetary Policy and Money Market Funds in Europe
by Marco Cipriani & Daniel Fricke & Stefan Greppmair & Gabriele La Spada & Karol Paludkiewicz - 20240410 A Retrospective on the Life Insurance Sector after the Failure of Silicon Valley Bank
by Fulvia Fringuellotti & Saketh Prazad - 20240408 Internal Liquidity’s Value in a Financial Crisis
by Cecilia R. Caglio & Adam Copeland - 20240403 Physical Climate Risk and Insurers
by Robert Engle & Shan Ge & Hyeyoon Jung & Xuran Zeng - 20240401 Learning by Bouncing: Overdraft Experience and Salience
by Donald P. Morgan & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20240327 Deposits and the March 2023 Banking Crisis—A Retrospective
by Stephan Luck & Matthew Plosser - 20240326 What Happens to U.S. Activity and Inflation if China’s Property Sector Leads to a Crisis?
by Ozge Akinci & Hunter L. Clark & Jeffrey B. Dawson & Matthew Higgins & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Ramya Nallamotu & Ethan Nourbash - 20240325 What if China Manufactures a Sugar High?
by Ozge Akinci & Hunter L. Clark & Jeffrey B. Dawson & Matthew Higgins & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Ramya Nallamotu & Ethan Nourbash - 20240308 Stablecoins and Crypto Shocks
by Kenechukwu E. Anadu & Pablo D. Azar & Catherine Huang & Marco Cipriani & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Gabriele La Spada & Mattia Landoni & Marco Macchiavelli & Antoine Malfroy-Camine & J. Christina Wang - 20240307 Will the Moderation in Wage Growth Continue?
by Richard Audoly & Augustin Belin & Martín Almuzara & Davide Melcangi - 20240305 Expectations and the Final Mile of Disinflation
by Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Aysegul Sahin - 20240304 Global Supply Chains and U.S. Import Price Inflation
by Mary Amiti & Oleg Itskhoki & David E. Weinstein - 20240228 Can Electric Cars Power China’s Growth?
by Thomas Klitgaard - 20240214 How and Why Do Consumers Use “Buy Now, Pay Later”?
by Felix Aidala & Daniel Mangrum & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20240212 Measuring Treasury Market Depth
by Michael J. Fleming & Isabel Krogh & Claire Nelson - 20240207a Racial and Ethnic Wealth Inequality in the Post-Pandemic Era
by Benjamin Lahey & Rajashri Chakrabarti & Natalia Emanuel - 20240206 Auto Loan Delinquency Revs Up as Car Prices Stress Budgets
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw & Crystal Wang - 20240118 The Power of Proximity: How Working beside Colleagues Affects Training and Productivity
by Natalia Emanuel & Emma Harrington & Amanda Pallais - 20240111 Towards Increasing Complexity: The Evolution of the FX Market
by Alain P. Chaboud & Lisa Chung & Linda S. Goldberg & Anna Nordstrom - 20240110 An Overlooked Factor in Banks’ Lending to Minorities
by Matteo Crosignani & Hanh Le - 20240108 Measuring Price Inflation and Growth in Economic Well-Being with Income-Dependent Preferences
by Danial Lashkari
2023
- 20231220 Does Trade Uncertainty Affect Bank Lending?
by Ricardo Correa & Julian di Giovanni & Linda S. Goldberg & Camelia Minoiu - 20231219 Dropping Like a Stone: ON RRP Take-up in the Second Half of 2023
by Gara Afonso & Marco Cipriani & Gabriele La Spada - 20231201 Recent Disparities in Earnings and Employment
by Rajashri Chakrabarti & Kasey Chatterji-Len & Dan Garcia & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy - 20231130 FHA First-Time Buyer Homeownership Sustainability: An Update
by Donghoon Lee & Joseph Tracy - 20231129 Treasury Bill Supply and ON RRP Investment
by Gara Afonso & Catherine Huang & Marco Cipriani & Gabriele La Spada & Sergio Olivas - 20231128 Bond Funds in the Aftermath of SVB’s Collapse
by Nicola Cetorelli & Sarah Zebar - 20231127 The Nonbank Shadow of Banks
by Nicola Cetorelli & Saketh Prazad - 20231121a A Bayesian VAR Model Perspective on the Lagged Effect of Monetary Policy
by Richard K. Crump & Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Ramya Nallamotu & Brian Pacula - 20231121b The New York Fed DSGE Model Perspective on the Lagged Effect of Monetary Policy
by Richard K. Crump & Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Ramya Nallamotu & Brian Pacula - 20231120 Banks versus Hurricanes
by Peter Anagnostakos & Jason Bram & Benjamin Chan & Natalia Fischl-Lanzoni & Hasan Latif & James M. Mahoney & Donald P. Morgan & Ladd Morgan & Ivelisse Suarez - 20231117 Flood-Prone Basement Housing in New York City and the Impact on Low- and Moderate-Income Renters
by Julian di Giovanni & Claire Kramer Mills & Ambika Nair - 20231116 Small Business Recovery after Natural Disasters in the Fed’s Second District
by Asani Sarkar - 20231115 How Do Natural Disasters Affect Small Business Owners in the Fed’s Second District?
by Asani Sarkar - 20231114 Flood Risk and Firm Location Decisions in the Fed’s Second District
by Oliver Zain Hannaoui & Hyeyoon Jung & João A. C. Santos & Lee Seltzer - 20231113 How Do Banks Lend in Inaccurate Flood Zones in the Fed’s Second District?
by Kristian S. Blickle & Katherine Engelman & Theo Linnemann & João A. C. Santos - 20231110 Potential Flood Map Inaccuracies in the Fed’s Second District
by Kristian S. Blickle & Katherine Engelman & Theo Linnemann & João A. C. Santos - 20231109 Transition Risks in the Fed’s Second District and the Nation
by Kristian S. Blickle & Rajashri Chakrabarti & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy - 20231108 Comparing Physical Risk: The Fed’s Second District versus the Nation
by Kristian S. Blickle & Rajashri Chakrabarti & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy - 20231107 Credit Card Delinquencies Continue to Rise—Who Is Missing Payments?
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Belicia Rodriguez & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw & Crystal Wang - 20231106 Banking System Vulnerability: 2023 Update
by Matteo Crosignani & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Fulvia Fringuellotti - 20231019 Can China Catch Up with Greece?
by Hunter L. Clark & Matthew Higgins - 20231018a An Update on the Health of the U.S. Consumer
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Jonathan McCarthy & Davide Melcangi & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20231018b Borrower Expectations for the Return of Student Loan Repayment
by Rajashri Chakrabarti & Daniel Mangrum & Sasha Thomas & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20231017 How Has Treasury Market Liquidity Evolved in 2023?
by Michael J. Fleming - 20231016 Racial Discrimination in Child Protective Services
by E. Jason Baron & Joseph J. Doyle & Natalia Emanuel & Peter Hull - 20231012 Do Large Firms Generate Positive Productivity Spillovers?
by Mary Amiti & Cédric Duprez & Jozef Konings & John Van Reenen - 20231011 Spending Down Pandemic Savings Is an “Only-in-the-U.S.” Phenomenon
by Matthew Higgins & Thomas Klitgaard - 20231010 Who’s Borrowing and Lending in the Fed Funds Market Today?
by Gara Afonso & Gonzalo Cisternas & Brian Gowen & Jason Miu & Josh Younger - 20231005 Does Income Inequality Affect Small Firms?
by Sebastian Doerr & Thomas Drechsel & Donggyu Lee - 20231003 A Look at Convenience Yields around the World
by William Diamond & Peter Van Tassel - 20231002 Options for Calculating Risk-Free Rate
by William Diamond & Jules van Binsbergen & Peter Van Tassel - 20230927 Why Are China’s Households in the Doldrums?
by Jeffrey B. Dawson - 20230926 Who Uses “Buy Now, Pay Later?”
by Felix Aidala & Daniel Mangrum & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20230922 The New York Fed DSGE Model Forecast— September 2023
by Marco Del Negro & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Ramya Nallamotu & Brian Pacula - 20230908 Reintroducing the New York Fed Staff Nowcast
by Katie Baker & Martín Almuzara & Hannah O’Keeffe & Argia M. Sbordone - 20230907 How Large Are Inflation Revisions? The Difficulty of Monitoring Prices in Real Time
by Richard Audoly & Richard K. Crump & Martín Almuzara & Davide Melcangi & Roshie Xing - 20230906 Leader-Follower Dynamics in Shareholder Activism
by Doruk Cetemen & Gonzalo Cisternas & Aaron Kolb & S Viswanathan - 20230823 Businesses Want Remote Work, Just Not as Much
by Jaison R. Abel & Richard Deitz & Dan Garcia & Benjamin Hyman - 20230817 Consumers’ Perspectives on the Recent Movements in Inflation
by Felix Aidala & Olivier Armantier & Fatima Boumahdi & Gizem Koşar & Devon Lall & Jason Somerville & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20230816 What Makes Cryptocurrencies Different?
by Anders Brownworth & Jon Durfee & Michael Junho Lee & Antoine Martin - 20230814 The Federal Reserve’s Two Key Rates: Similar but Not the Same?
by Gara Afonso & Marco Cipriani & Gabriele La Spada & Peter Prastakos - 20230810 The Evolution of Short-Run r* after the Pandemic
by Katie Baker & Logan Casey & Marco Del Negro & Aidan Gleich & Ramya Nallamotu - 20230809 The Post-Pandemic r
by Katie Baker & Logan Casey & Marco Del Negro & Aidan Gleich & Ramya Nallamotu - 20230808 Credit Card Markets Head Back to Normal after Pandemic Pause
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20230802 Why Do Forecasters Disagree about Their Monetary Policy Expectations?
by Arunima Sinha & Giorgio Topa & Francisco Torralba - 20230713 Inflating Away the Debt: The Debt-Inflation Channel of German Hyperinflation
by Markus K. Brunnermeier & Sergio A. Correia & Stephan Luck & Emil Verner & Tom Zimmermann - 20230712 Runs on Stablecoins
by Kenechukwu E. Anadu & Pablo D. Azar & Catherine Huang & Marco Cipriani & Thomas M. Eisenbach & Gabriele La Spada & Mattia Landoni & Marco Macchiavelli & Antoine Malfroy-Camine & J. Christina Wang - 20230710 How Exposed Are U.S. Banks’ Loan Portfolios to Climate Transition Risks?
by Hyeyoon Jung & João A. C. Santos & Lee Seltzer - 20230706b Where Is Inflation Persistence Coming From?
by Babur Kocaoglu & Martín Almuzara & Argia M. Sbordone - 20230706a The EGIs: Analyzing the Economy Through an Equitable Growth Lens
by Rajashri Chakrabarti & Dan Garcia & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy - 20230627 Not Just “Stimulus” Checks: The Marginal Propensity to Repay Debt
by Gizem Koşar & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph & David Wiczer - 20230622 Elevated Rent Expectations Continue to Pressure Low-Income Households
by Benjamin Lahey & Andrew F. Haughwout & Benjamin Hyman & Devon Lall & Jason Somerville - 20230620 Is Work-from-Home Working?
by Natalia Emanuel & Emma Harrington - 20230602 How Do Firms Adjust Prices in a High Inflation Environment?
by Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20230601 What Drove Racial Disparities in the Paycheck Protection Program?
by Sergey V. Chernenko & Nathan Kaplan & Asani Sarkar & David Scharfstein - 20230531 Do Economic Crises in Europe Affect the U.S.? Some Lessons from the Past Three Decades
by Ozge Akinci & Paolo Pesenti - 20230525b Do Veterans Face Disparities in the Labor Market—And What Accounts for Them?
by Rajashri Chakrabarti & Dan Garcia & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy - 20230525a Do Veterans Face Disparities in Higher Education, Health, and Housing?
by Rajashri Chakrabarti & Dan Garcia & Maxim L. Pinkovskiy - 20230524 Measuring the Financial Stability Real Interest Rate, r*
by Ozge Akinci & Gianluca Benigno & Marco Del Negro & Ethan Nourbash & Albert Queraltó - 20230523 Financial Stability and Interest Rates
by Ozge Akinci & Gianluca Benigno & Marco Del Negro & Ethan Nourbash & Albert Queraltó - 20230522 Financial Vulnerability and Macroeconomic Fragility
by Ozge Akinci & Gianluca Benigno & Marco Del Negro & Ethan Nourbash & Albert Queraltó - 20230518 Banks’ Balance-Sheet Costs and ON RRP Investment
by Gara Afonso & Catherine Huang & Marco Cipriani & Gabriele La Spada - 20230517 Look Out for Outlook-at-Risk
by Nina Boyarchenko & Richard K. Crump & Leonardo Elias & Ignacio Lopez Gaffney - 20230515b The Great Pandemic Mortgage Refinance Boom
by Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw - 20230515a First-Time Buyers Did Not Drive Strong House Price Appreciation in 2021
by Donghoon Lee & Joseph Tracy - 20230512 Banks Runs and Information
by Haelim Anderson & Adam Copeland - 20230511 Bank Funding during the Current Monetary Policy Tightening Cycle
by Stephan Luck & Matthew Plosser & Josh Younger - 20230510 Assessing the Outlook for Employment across Industries
by Thomas Klitgaard & Ethan Nourbash - 20230508 Are There Too Many Ways to Clear and Settle Secured Financing Transactions?
by Adam Copeland & Frank M. Keane & Jenny Phan - 20230420a CRISK: Measuring the Climate Risk Exposure of the Financial System
by Hyeyoon Jung - 20230420b Moving Out of a Flood Zone? That May Be Risky!
by Kristian S. Blickle & Katherine Engelman & Theo Linnemann & João A. C. Santos - 20230418a Enhancing Monitoring of NBFI Exposure: The Case of Open-End Funds
by Nicola Cetorelli & Debashish Sarkar - 20230418b Monitoring Banks’ Exposure to Nonbanks: The Network of Interconnections Matters
by Nicola Cetorelli & Mattia Landoni & Lina Lu - 20230417 Financial Fragility without Banks
by Stein Berre & Asani Sarkar - 20230414 Mitigating the Risk of Runs on Uninsured Deposits: the Minimum Balance at Risk
by Richard Berner & Marco Cipriani & Michael Holscher & Antoine Martin & Patrick E. McCabe - 20230413a The Tri-State Region’s Recovery from the Pandemic Recession Three Years On
by Jaison R. Abel & Jason Bram & Richard Deitz & Jonathan Hastings - 20230413b How Did New York City’s Economy Weather the Pandemic?
by Jason Bram - 20230412 Does Corporate Hedging of Foreign Exchange Risk Affect Real Economic Activity?
by Hyeyoon Jung - 20230411 Deposit Betas: Up, Up, and Away?
by Alena Kang-Landsberg & Stephan Luck & Matthew Plosser - 20230410 The 2022 Spike in Corporate Security Settlement Fails
by Michael J. Fleming & Or Shachar & Peter Van Tassel